The following contain some kind of analysis, so I will say it in English.
1. From previous experience, number of day between issue of tender notice and first day of confirming the allocation is on average 39 days, while the standard deviation is also 39 days. The longest one is 115 days while the shortest one is -1 day.
2. Normally, number of day between first day of S3 and that of confirmation is around two weeks.
3. Po Shek Wu Estate's tender notice was issued about one month ago but there is still no information about its allocation.
4. In conclusion, it is foreseen that our desired home will be allocated in the coming 78 days, while my own expectation to be late July, with regards to the first day of confirmation.